What You Get
Three output formats. All structured. None a narrative.
Structured intelligence products with assigned owners, calibrated confidence, and observable escalation indicators. Built to the standard your board and legal team will interrogate.
Situation Scan
Threat Register · Free Tier
10 ranked threats covering your active threat environment. Ranked by operational severity to your company specifically, not by what's trending in the news.
Rank
Ranked 1–10 by operational severity to your company specifically, not by news cycle prominence.
Threat Category
One of 8 named categories per sector, from kinetic attacks to corporate security to regulatory.
Severity
CRITICAL / HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW, calibrated to your operational footprint, not the headline.
Headline
Named actor + event + operational relevance. No passive voice. No vague geography.
Situation
What is happening, who is doing it, where, and what it has demonstrably done so far. Facts and named entities only.
Company Implication
What this means for your specific operations and locations. Named exposure, not generic sector commentary.
Primary Action
Function owner → specific action → timeframe. One action. Never "monitor the situation."
Watch Indicator
One observable signal that confirms escalation, de-escalation, or a secondary development.
Confidence
HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW, reflects source quality, not severity. A LOW confidence CRITICAL threat is an early warning, not a dismissal.
Sources
Named data source type per entry. GDELT conflict feed, OFAC SDN list, Reuters RSS, Federal Register, not "open source research."
Intelligence Brief
Event Analysis · Paid Tiers
"Iranian IRGC naval exercise: three-day Hormuz closure drill raises Q2 LNG routing exposure for operators with active corridor transit agreements."
12-field structured analysis on a specific event or topic: three-stage consequence chain, sector implication, company implication, and recommended actions with function owners.
Headline
Single declarative sentence. Specific actor + event + operational relevance. Board-presentable.
Severity & Confidence
CRITICAL / HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW on both axes. Confidence reflects source quality, not severity; an important analytical distinction.
Situation
Named actors, current development, specific geography, demonstrated effect. Facts only; no forward speculation in this field.
Sector Implication
What this means for your sector as a class: routing, compliance, capital, procurement. The context your board needs.
Company Implication
What this means for your specific footprint, counterparties, and regulatory position. Named exposure. If context is insufficient, the brief states what additional information would sharpen it.
Recommended Actions
Function owner → specific action → timeframe. 2–4 items. Owner-assigned, not a suggestion list.
Consequence Chain
30-day direct effect with trigger condition · 90-day second-order effect · 180-day strategic decision environment. Each stage names what confirms the chain is activating.
Watch Indicators
Three observable signals: one for escalation, one for de-escalation, one secondary development. The reason you return.
Confidence Rationale
Why the confidence rating was assigned: which primary sources support it, which information gaps limit it.
Sources
Named instruments: OFAC General Licence reference, BIS Federal Register rule citation, GDELT event feed, Reuters sector wire, EIA production data.
Scenario Builder
Branch Analysis · Command Tier
BASE · 55-70% · Drill ends without interdiction; premiums decay in weeks
DOWNSIDE · 20-30% · Selective boardings; corridor delays of 1-3 weeks
TAIL RISK · 5-10% · Closure attempt; force majeure across Q3 fixtures
Three parallel branch briefs built from one triggering event over a shared evidence base, plus a synthesis pass: probability bands, divergence triggers, and a decision table.
Triggering Event
One named event or decision point. Every branch grows from the same grounding context, so the differences between branches are analytical, not informational.
Three Branches
Base, downside, and tail risk. Each branch is a complete 12-field Intelligence Brief with its own consequence chain, not a paragraph of speculation.
Probability Bands
An explicit band per branch, ordered and defensible: 55-70%, not "likely." The number your board can interrogate.
Divergence Triggers
3-6 observable signals, each naming which branch it confirms and the window to watch for it. How you know which world you are in.
Decision Table
Act-now-if and defer-if conditions against each pending decision. The difference between a scenario exercise and a decision instrument.
Synthesis
What the branches agree on, where they diverge, and the cheapest hedge that covers the spread. Capped and board-presentable.
The free Threat Register gives you the same 10-field structure your board would interrogate. Named actors. A severity rating calibrated to your footprint, not the headline. A function-assigned action. A watch indicator that tells you when to return. The paid Intelligence Brief adds depth on a single event: the 12-field consequence chain, sector implication, and daily delivery. The Scenario Builder goes one step further on Command: three parallel branch briefs with probability bands and a decision table. All three formats are built to the standard that holds up when someone asks where the number came from.
Three free scans. No card. No call. Your first result in under 60 seconds.